So now - the club falls on the river and we"re down to check call or bet fold? If only we had 
we could just jam here but we don"t
So...
If we check we open the door for him to bet and represent the flush (it"s what I"d do in his shoes)
A small bet seems to still leave room for him to raise me off the pot in the same way as a check does
A bigger bet, one that says "I"m not as scared of that last club as you expect me to be"? Does that get called by worse? Does it get better to fold?
What does he need to raise the river?
Few points with this. I think it would be awful to jam w/ the
here, as villain is unlikely to be folding any flush regardless. I"m all for using blockers to our advantage, but not in these spots, and certainly not when we already have sdv.
Ur also worried about villain rep"n the flush if we check, but what do we think his range will be for flatting flop and turn here. IMO it is going to be mostly Ax hands and flushes. Obviously, this seems a pretty good spot for villain to turn weak Ax hands into bluffs, but we cannot worry about him doing this without a solid read. Usually, as Steve says, villain v/bets his flushes and checks behind his flushes. This also seems like a pretty bad board to get trappy with sets, so we can probs discount them for the most part, but obv if villain is going to v/bet sets otr, we r still happy with our c/f line.
As far as villain thinking our small bet was weak and jamming over the top, there are no air hands that villain can feasibly have on this river, so again we would need a pretty solid read tht villain was capable of turning made hands into bluffs.
A big bet never gets called by worse here. It may get some 2 pair hands to fold but tht is obv player dependant, and doesnt achieve much vs villains river range.
If we bet small otr, a standard villain needs flushes to raise.
I"m all for v/betting thinly, but I think on this board, vs this villains line, we can comfortably c/f and not think twice.
