OK everybody seems more than less agreed on the best thing to do here. When does our stack become too big to shove anything we are going to play in this spot?
20BB?
Fold = -250
Shove, opps fold = +1600
Shove, call, lose = -4645
Shove, call, win = +5845
Depends on your assessment of your opponents limp-fold and limp-calling range. Crunched some numbers:
If you"re called 100%, with your stack you need 44.3% equity when called to break even.
50%, 29% equity to break even.
30%, 9% equity to break even.
The true number for me lies around 30-50%, so it"s pretty obvious that shoving any reasonable holding against a calling range is +cEV
A fair long-run equity for a shove is 35-40%. Assuming you"re called 50% of the time, you can profitably shove 16BBs if equity is 35%, and 26BBs if it"s 40%. (Whilst shoving is +EV, there may be better ways to play certain hands, i.e. AA ofc)
Against a calling range of {99-22,AJs-A6s,KTs+,QJs,AJo-A8o,KTo+,QJo} - if this guy is limp-calling 50% it"ll be pretty wide:
22 = 43.20%
A2o = 40.74%
87s = 40.15%
JTo = 38.59%
54s = 37.80%
Q2s = 35.27%
72o = 29.20%
To start making it a -EV play, you"ll need to be called 65-75% of the time.
So in summary, 10-15BBs looks like the answer, becoming marginal as you increase your stack size beyond that. Some of you need to open up your shoving range imo - you will not get many better spots to pick up chips!