He can have worse Jx hands as well and its vs an unknown. Way more combos of Jx hands than sets.
so all of a sudden all the unknowns readless in ep/mp 6max nlh flat ip all jack x hands 100% of the time? 2 combos of jacks, say they call suited -
T Q K ,
T Q K - thats 6 combo"s and u assume he 100% re-raises all of these in 3bet pots on the flop? then you assume that he 100% jams all those 6 combo"s on the turn but never checks back the turn ever?
please do some maths marty to prove your point - 7 sets play this line a high % likewise flush draws a lower amount in % terms, so how many club draws do the general population of 25nl have in there mp range that flat the 3bet, and how often do you see them take this line this deep? AKcc AQcc 9Tcc 89cc thats 4 combo"s, do we think is flat 3bet range will have even more clubs that will take this line?
for this to be break even to marginal i"d guess villain would have to be in the ballpark of 30 to 40% air and worse jacks of his total range to be even slightly +ev taking into account that sometimes he might flat the 3bet ip with AA KK AKcc a certain % of the time and still take this line with no reads...
100% ranges - so villain calls 100% every hand possible?
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 51.890% 51.66% 00.23% 31706 144.00 { AdJs }
Hand 1: 48.110% 47.88% 00.23% 29386 144.00 { QQ+, JdJh, 77, 44, AcKc, AcQc, AcTc, Ac9c, Ac8c, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, Ac3c, Ac2c, KdJd, KhJh, QdJd, QhJh, JdTd, JhTh, Tc9c, 9c8c, 8c7c, 7c6c, 6c5c, 3c2c, KJo, QJo, JTo }
a tad bit more muck added
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 56.053% 52.25% 03.80% 41902 3046.50 { AdJs }
Hand 1: 43.947% 40.15% 03.80% 32195 3046.50 { QQ+, JdJh, 77, 44, AcKc, AcQc, AJs, AcTc, Ac9c, Ac8c, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, Ac3c, Ac2c, KcQc, KdJd, KhJh, QdJd, QhJh, JdTd, JhTh, Tc9c, T3s, 9c8c, 92s, 8c7c, 7c6c, 6c5c, 63s, 3c2c, AJo, KJo, QJo, JTo }
will the opponent 100% flat the 3bet with all of these hands and 100% play all of these fast on the flop and turn?