Author Topic: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this  (Read 90428 times)

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dwh103

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Re: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this
« Reply #150 on: June 05, 2013, 21:13:51 PM »

4 more blank blank blank blank tonight ,so far for me it is one cash in 8 games......what should it be normally do people think?


15-20% ITM rate I suspect would be as good as it gets.
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s4ooter

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Re: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this
« Reply #151 on: June 05, 2013, 21:16:00 PM »
Wouldnt even look at results till 500-1k games played.

Its a varience game
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duke3016

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Re: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this
« Reply #152 on: June 05, 2013, 21:17:14 PM »

15-20% ITM rate I suspect would be as good as it gets.



AAroddersAA

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Re: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this
« Reply #153 on: June 05, 2013, 21:18:33 PM »


4 more blank blank blank blank tonight ,so far for me it is one cash in 8 games......what should it be normally do people think?


15-20% ITM rate I suspect would be as good as it gets.

I would be surprised if anybody can stay above 15% over a very big sample.

between 12% and 15% is where some of the best players are on these (although they would be better at this level of course)
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dwh103

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Re: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this
« Reply #154 on: June 05, 2013, 21:44:12 PM »



4 more blank blank blank blank tonight ,so far for me it is one cash in 8 games......what should it be normally do people think?


15-20% ITM rate I suspect would be as good as it gets.

I would be surprised if anybody can stay above 15% over a very big sample.

between 12% and 15% is where some of the best players are on these (although they would be better at this level of course)


I"d forgotten that Stars had changed the payout structures to 27 pay rather than 18.

Which means that 15% ITM is average, for the very best players 20-25% should be obtainable at this level imo.
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AMRN

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Re: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this
« Reply #155 on: June 05, 2013, 22:01:03 PM »

Which means that 15% ITM is average, for the very best players 20-25% should be obtainable at this level imo.


Oh - no cashes in 10 games is not so good then?  

I hate these.

PokerRoyalFlush9

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Re: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this
« Reply #156 on: June 05, 2013, 22:18:54 PM »


Which means that 15% ITM is average, for the very best players 20-25% should be obtainable at this level imo.


Oh - no cashes in 10 games is not so good then?  

I hate these.


I am only 2 cash from 20 games, so does this mean i am 10%ITM

s4ooter

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Re: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this
« Reply #157 on: June 05, 2013, 22:28:15 PM »


Which means that 15% ITM is average, for the very best players 20-25% should be obtainable at this level imo.


Oh - no cashes in 10 games is not so good then?  

I hate these.


Oh dear, stop trolling!!!
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duke3016

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Re: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this
« Reply #158 on: June 05, 2013, 23:01:28 PM »

Which means that 15% ITM is average, for the very best players 20-25% should be obtainable at this level imo.


Really ? that"s me fecked then, very best? no idea what that means on these games  ;D ;D ;D

amcgrath1uk

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Re: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this
« Reply #159 on: June 05, 2013, 23:09:02 PM »
My experience with these is that I tend to group results, ie in one batch of 10, I won 2, FT"d another 3 or something similar. I"ve also played 25 with just bare min cashes. Variance is fun  :-\

My target is a top 2 finish every 30 which combined with a few min cashes, should be profitable
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AAroddersAA

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Re: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this
« Reply #160 on: June 05, 2013, 23:11:33 PM »




4 more blank blank blank blank tonight ,so far for me it is one cash in 8 games......what should it be normally do people think?


15-20% ITM rate I suspect would be as good as it gets.

I would be surprised if anybody can stay above 15% over a very big sample.

between 12% and 15% is where some of the best players are on these (although they would be better at this level of course)


I"d forgotten that Stars had changed the payout structures to 27 pay rather than 18.

Which means that 15% ITM is average, for the very best players 20-25% should be obtainable at this level imo.

I really don" think 15% is average Dave.

I just had a look on Sharkscope at some of the best on the leaderboard playing these at this level

ljenkinsl90
Lfmmm -
mrGR33N13

These guys are all between ITM 15% and 20% over the last 100 games.
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TallPaul

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Re: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this
« Reply #161 on: June 05, 2013, 23:31:37 PM »
Just looked at my PokerTracker and I"m at 14% ITM and 10% ROI over 3,000 games.  As said earlier, sample sizes below 1,000 games are pretty meaningless, variance is brutal in these.

ITM% isn"t a great stat to indicate how you"re doing anyway, they"re all about top 3 finishes really.

AMRN

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Re: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this
« Reply #162 on: June 05, 2013, 23:42:23 PM »
wooohooo a cash, and a final table at that. However, KK can"t be KQ when all in pre, and am out in 9th for a whopping $6.15

Newportlad

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Re: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this
« Reply #163 on: June 06, 2013, 07:35:37 AM »

wooohooo a cash, and a final table at that. However, KK can"t be KQ when all in pre, and am out in 9th for a whopping $6.15


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amcgrath1uk

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Re: Poker Prop bet - anybody up for this
« Reply #164 on: June 06, 2013, 13:40:51 PM »
In the middle of playing 6....

at 125/250 level I"m down to 2 tables... 3 bad beats and a lost race... it"s easy to lose faith playing these...
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