Mike/Brendan - what is your opinion on raising the flop as a bluff? Is the fact he has bet into 3 player to strong even though the bet is too small?
Bluff raises on paired boards seem very prevalent and transparent atm, so are unlikely to succeed often enough.
Several factors in this spot for me...
- four players have seen a flop, how likely is it that none of them hold an Ace?
- We have very little equity
- Even when we hit our gutshot, we still lose a decent amount of time
- Our line is easily perceived as FOS and we are repping a very thin range against an unknown
Don"t sit on the fence is that a yes or no ?!!!!
Seriously thanks for the input. On reviewing the hand I agree I played it badly on most if not all streets. I picked a bad spot to be bluffing. He actually folded the river, but I appreciate you should not be results orientated. I guess he probably had a small flush draw like T9 spades, or maybe a medium pair when he made a crying call on the turn. But I think these are lessthan the 27% of his range which I need for the river bluff to be ev+.
I guess I got lucky which is certainly not the formula for long term success.
