Grosvenor Casino tourney on tuesday

[weeksJR]

Kindly asking for some thoughts/advice on the below hand.

Grosvenor Casino Leeds Tuesday Night Tourney.
£20 triple chance (2 x £10 rebuy (5k/5k/5k)) 39 Runners 6 re-entries. I took both my rebuys.

Ive remembered the important parts - so bare with me on some of the other information.

7 left. Top 7 Payed (paying the bubble) 1st £630 2nd £450 3rd £340 4th £200 5th £160 6th £120 7th £100.

SEAT 1 - Im sat with around 110k - SB
SEAT 2 - Roughly 70k - BB
SEAT 4 - Roughly 80k
SEAT 5 - Roughly 170k
SEAT 7 - Roughly 80K
SEAT 8 - Roughly 100k
SEAT 10 - Roughly 70K - BTN

This particular hand focuses on Seat 5. Ive played with him since the second break and he likes to raise pre 5x ish. And on 3 notable occasions shows AA and gets it in with a smallish stack with KK. The other he showed 88 from a button raise (5x again)

He"s UTG +1 with 7 left blinds at 2k/4k and opens to 17k. The standard raise pre on the FT has been varying between min/2.5x. Folds around to me in the SB and look at AJ unsuited. I look to my left and have a very nervy BB who is shuffling his 70k, looking a little interested in what i"m going to do but has generally folded every hand at the FT.

What are your thoughts here, what would you do? Anything you would consider?

I started the FT with 68k, dwindled down to about 50k and doubled with QQ. I have a strong table image, picking up pots in the right spots and getting some nice hands. Not made any big moves or mistakes...feeling really confident at the table.

Il leave it here and update when i get a few responses.

Thanks

[KarmaDope]

In game for me this is a fold. No suits, interested very tight BB and OR appears to be a tight player who only raises pairs from what you describe, and we are out of position. Range wise this is a flip at best, I can"t see him raising A9o for example UTG+1. We have nearly 30 bigs with no antes so lots of time left, no need to go mental on marginal hands.

[MintTrav]

Anything you would consider?

I"d consider folding. AJ oop against the big stack and the pot is likely to become quite big. Do you want to play this hand? Will you be comfortable with any Flop less than 2P? That"s without considering the tight player who is now showing interest. If he calls, you will also be oop against him. Or he might reraise - then what would you do? But even if he was away from the table it would still be a fold imo.

[CW86]

fold, wait for a better spot

[adilong1]

fold, wait for a better spot

This^^

[AAroddersAA]

Are there antes?

We have 23K in the pot so we can shove against some players, but it"s a really crap spot to do that.  I doubt there is much fold equity based on this post. We lose 106K when we lose and win 129K when we win so we need 45% to make the call based on chip equity and no fold equity (we don"t need to worry too much about that here as we don"t have much).

To give us 45% his range needs to look something like AA-66,AK-AT,KQ-KJ. I think his range will be quite a bit tighter than that based on the OP (any reason to think otherwise?). We also feel confident we can do well on this table so don"t need to take really marginal spots like this one. That"s before we even take the BB into consideration. No need to risk our tournament life in this spot.

Fold.

[Swinebag]

I"m folding in a heartbeat. No need for second in chips to tangle with the big stack with AJ (unless you are stu O). He is raising too big to be played back at. You have a pretty awkward stack size here so pick on someone else and wait for a better hand vs this guy.



As an aside, I"m impressed that the average stack in the money is so big.

[deanp27]

if these comps played like they used to 3-4 years ago i"d just fold and move on

[LombBomb]

I"d fold here and be very comfortable with it.

[mousebob]

It"s a no brainer like averyone says.
fold.

[weeksJR]

Thanks for your replies!

I did fold.

BB Called the 17k open with 70k total LOL.

Flop was 210J

BB checked, Aggressor bet 28k, SB moved in, aggressor snapped.

Aggressor has KJcc
SB has Q10 off

KJcc holds and he scoops the pot!!