I know i"ve mentioned it already,but I thought I"d dissect what turned out to be my final hand of last night"s APAT touney.
I had pocket nines in the big blind, Rupinder Bedi to my left min raised with KJ suited, everyone else folded, I shoved and Rupionder called then hit a straight.
When deciding to shove, I considered a number of factors (1) what did I think my opponent have (2) considering (1) what was my chance of success (3) What were the benefits if I won (4) what was the downside if I lost.
To set the scene a little further, the final table had about 7 stacks of about 20000 to 25000 chips, 1 in the mid 30000s and 2 higher.
My first consideration was what did my opponent have? Most people assume that a minimum raise under the gun represents considerable strength, probably aces.kings or ace/king. Having played against Rupinder online before, I thought he"d be aware of this and was likely to make a move with a marginal hand safe in the knowledge that he could abort mission if one of the big stacks shoved. I thought that he would have placed a larger bet and probably gone all in with a larger pair so discounted this immediately. The hands I thought he had were K/Q, K/j, K/10 or Q/J so I was confident I had the best hand.
I then considered what I was trying to gain by my actions and this was largely shaped by the make up of the table. As my opponents included the likes of Simon Auckland,Steve Coope and Linda Iwaniak who are all prominent in the national rankings this also affected my thinking as my total of 45 points is behind the leaders but gives me a chance if I get on a roll from hereon in. I thought my only option was to play for the win to try and clawback some of the deficit on those above me. Therefore I felt that raising all in was my only serious option.
If we were playing in the final tournament of the season with the same players and same chipstacks but i needed to only gain one or two points to secure top spot in the rankings I would probably have folded.