i. The showdown did actually make me lol - I thought the hand might amuse other people as well, but as you"ve asked...
ii. I did make a mistake, I don"t mind admitting that.
This was a tight table, especially as it had got closer to the bubble.
So it was relatively straightforward to put people on hands.
Nobody was desperately short stacked - in the tournament as a whole there were a number of micro-stacks, which meant that barring any
accident everybody on this table should make it through the bubble.
iii. The other players in the hand (and most of the rest on the table) were raising preflop with premium hands, and limping with small pairs and broadway cards for example.
The mistake I made was not realising that the SB"s range was going to be slightly wider because he had already put the SB in.
iv. The SB min bet on the flop made me narrow his range to 2 broadway cards (inc a high ace), or a flush draw - ditto with the EP call. If either of them had a 10 or a pocket pair they would have bet more, and as I mentioned above - I didn"t think either of them would be playing the hand with a rag card.
v. The SB check on the turn made me put him on a draw or 2 picture cards, this was where I thought a stab at the pot would either give me the pot (or if the EP bettor reraised for example - and he would have reraised large if he"d had the ace - I could fold with plenty enough chips left).
vi. The SB check raise made me think
{adjective deleted}, but it meant he had the high ace.
But:
This left me with 750 to bet into a 3950 pot (19%)
That left me with approximately 9 outs needed to call him.
11 hearts, 2 6"s and a 2 were the outs I
thought I had - so this was easily enough to call (and there were enough to call even if I"d known he had 2 pair)
vii. I would have lost another 1000 chips if a 6 had come on the end (I wouldn"t have re raised)
viii. If this had happened or if none of my outs came on the river and I"d folded (or if I"d been reraised large on the turn and folded) I"d have still had enough chips to make it past the bubble - so the worst case scenario meant that I still would have cashed.
But it would still have left me enough chips to cause serious damage if anybody called my subsequent all ins, which on a generally tight table meant that I still would have had the opportunity to work myself back into it.
Do I get an extra point for at least
having a plan?
