Author Topic: Quads  (Read 3276 times)

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JAYDOUBLE

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Quads
« on: December 23, 2008, 13:49:37 PM »
I"m seeing an increasing amount of quads on-line in holdem tournies, getting my fair share too but I"m sure it"s wrong they seem to be everywhere. I"m playing about 6 small tournies a day 50-100 fields so not playing a massive amount of hands. The other day on my table 4 kings 3 hands later 4aces and just before the table collapsed about 1hr later 4 eights.  Maybe it"s because it"s a loose site with a lot players seeing a flop and a lot of showdowns, maybe it"s just a trend and I won"t see any more for a while. What are other peoples views? Is this normal? What are the odds of getting quads?



kc kd kh ks

HaworthBantam

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Re: Quads
« Reply #1 on: December 23, 2008, 13:53:43 PM »

I played a home game, not so long ago, and had quad 5"s and quad 2"s inside 10 hands - it happens.

noble1

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Re: Quads
« Reply #2 on: December 23, 2008, 14:22:07 PM »
odds of getting quads are 407 to 1

Example: You hold TT but the flop misses you completely. What is the likelihood that you will catch a 3rd ten on the turn. Well there are 2 Tens left in the deck, and the deck currently has 47 cards just for arguments sake. 2/47 = .0426 or 4.3%. There is a 4.3% chance you will catch a 3rd ten on the turn. On the river there are now 46 unknown cards, 2/46 = .0434, or 4.3% (just slightly higher believe it or not,alas you dont know if your outs are live most of the time  -  poker sigh  :)  )

odds to hit a set on flop the are 7.5 to 1

turning a percentage to odds example -

20% -  100 minus 20 = 80      80 divided by 20 = 4     20%= 4 to 1
33% -  100 minus 33 = 67      67 divided by 33 = 2.03     33%=2 to 1




I played a home game, not so long ago, and had quad 5"s and quad 2"s inside 10 hands - it happens.


like haworthbantam says it does happen,after a while though you may go many hands without seeing any quads..just variance and probability ..
« Last Edit: December 23, 2008, 14:27:22 PM by noble1 »

JAYDOUBLE

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Re: Quads
« Reply #3 on: December 23, 2008, 14:28:27 PM »
Thanks Noble1 It"s a shame the site I"m using isn"t supported by Pokertracker I"d be able to monitor it better.