10% call range assigned for chipaccrual - 88+,A9s+,KTs+,QTs+,AJo+,KQo
That means that when we push, he is going to fold 90% of the time, and we will win the blinds and antes.
Villain has the mighty
:
: and his equity is 30% against chipaccruals range
90% of the time villain wins 600 chips
of the 10% that he is called he will win 3 times[30%] and lose 7 times[70%]
to work out the whether or not it is +EV or not , we work out 3 things......
WIN if chipaccrual folds - 0.90*600 [blinds+antes] =
540of the 10% that chipaccrual calls and villain wins [600+3520 chipaccruals stack=4120]
WIN if chipaccrual calls - 0.10*0.30*4120 =
123.60 [the 0.30 is the %30 equity]
villain is going to lose 70% so that works out like -
LOSE if chipaccrual calls - 0.10*0.70*-4120 =
-288to work out the EV we combine the 3 results -
540+123.60-288 =
375.6 it is a positive number +EV so believe it or not it is a good shove in mathematical theory.
The villain will have 9.3bb left if he loses 7% of the time or increases his stack 90% of the time by 10% if chipaccrual folds or increases his stack by 60% 93% of the time if called and wins [sucks out
]
thats the maths anyhows............if based on chipaccrual being tight