Ok Guys,
I would appreciate your opinion on a recent hand that I played in a live game at Walsall.
It was a £30 triple-chance freezeout with 3 x 2000 starting chips & we were at the 400/800 level with 24 left from a field of around 60.
I had been on the same table throughout & had got around 20k in chips. My opponent to my left, a good LAG player, had been next to me all night and had roughly the same stack as me.
He had raised UTG on 2 occasions and shown A-K both times, once when I showed him my A-J before I folded them. He had also called all-ins with A-10 & K-10 & seemed to get married to any 2 face cards at times.
On the hand in question, it was folded to me on the SB and I made it 2500 to go with J-J. After a long dwell, he called me.
The flop came down A-4-Q, not good at all for me. I made a C-bet of 6000 and once again, after a long delay, he called me. This convinced me that he had 2 face cards, though certainly not A-K. A-10, K-10 or K-Q were the most likely combinations in my opinion, but when a 2nd A came on the turn, I was convinced that A-10 was no longer one of his possible holdings .
I bet 5000, leaving me 7k behind but he instantly moved all-in. I was now convinced that he had K-Q so although I was getting nearly 5-1 in calling my 7k to win 34k, I would be drawing to just 2 cards.
Now I know that people say "You have the odds...you must call" but = I dont always subscribe to that. Why call if I believe I am a 95% dog to win the
hand ? I made a similar lay-down in the recent online Welsh Open tourney and that paid off.
Anyway, I folded.....and was gutted when he showed K-J.....the ONLY combination of face cards That I hadnt put him on !
I was right that he didnt have an ace, but wrong in my assessment of what he DID hold.
Your assessment of my play.....and how YOU would have played this hand, would be much appreciated guys.