Fantasy Staker - WSOP Main Event 2009

[MintTrav]

I"ll keep my $10,000 in my pocket thank you.
I might not win but I"ll have more left than most  

Might not win but think there could be a good chance of you making the top 5 and get an option  

No chance. The rest of us only have to hit one cashing player to be ahead.

[jayteejack]

phil ivey 13%
daniel negreanu 13%
gus hansen 13%
tom dwan 13%
andrew black 8%
juha helppi 8%
ivan demidov 8%
john juanda 8%
barry greenstein 8%
allen cunningham 8%

[Jon MW]

I"ll keep my $10,000 in my pocket thank you.
I might not win but I"ll have more left than most  

Might not win but think there could be a good chance of you making the top 5 and get an option  

No chance. The rest of us only have to hit one cashing player to be ahead.

My analysis has been rushed but statistically I think this might actually be the winning strategy.

But that"d be boring so just need to put the finishing touches to my selection.

[Jon MW]

Phil Hellmuth Jr	10%
Erik Seidel	10%
Humberto Brenes	10%
Thor Hansen	10%
Daniel Negreanu	10%
Allen Cunningham	10%
David Chiu	10%
Dan Heimiller	10%
Phil Ivey	10%
Randy Holland	10%

[gomarrrahh]

Gotta give this a go me thinks:

Mike Matusow 10%
JC Tran 10%
Phil Hellmuth 20%
Humberto Buenes (sp?) 10%
Daniel Negreanu 20%
Vitaly Lunkin 10%
Scott Clements 5%
Kenny Tran 5%
Huck Seed 10%

[lufc11]

Il have

Phil Ivey - 30%
Daniel Negreanu - 20%
Vanessa Rousso - 15%
Tom "Durrr" Dwan -20%
Ivan Demidov -  15%

That how you do it??

[Jax Wild]

think i should put "unknown internet qualifer 100%"  but will actually do the following:

Jerrod Ankenman - 15%
Gavin Smith - 15%
Scotty Nguyen - 15%
Nenad Medic - 15%
Bernard Grospellier (Elky) - 10%
Phil Hellmuth - 10%
Daniel Negreanu - 10%
Phil Ivey - 10%

great idea by the way - though sorting all this out looks like a nightmare !!

[KarmaDope]

I"m being boring. $10k in my back pocket tyvm.

[frankieb]

Ivan Demidov 50%
Vitaly Lunkin 20%
Andy Black 10%
Roland De Wolfe 10%
John Parker 10%

[jbworldwide]

Ivan Demidov 25%
Jason Mercier 20%
Elky 20%
Hevad Kahn 10%
Phil Ivey 10%
Humberto Brenes 10%
Gus Hansen 5%
Patrik Antonius 5%

[scouse3465]

phil ivey 40%
Mike Matusow 20%
Elky 20%
Phill Hellmuth 20%

[APAT]

think i should put "unknown internet qualifer 100%"  but will actually do the following:

Jerrod Ankenman - 15%
Gavin Smith - 15%
Scotty Nguyen - 15%
Nenad Medic - 15%
Bernard Grospellier (Elky) - 10%
Phil Hellmuth - 10%
Daniel Negreanu - 10%
Phil Ivey - 10%

great idea by the way - though sorting all this out looks like a nightmare !!

Thanks and Leigh assures me he is "on it".

[CrizzyConnor]

I"ll keep my $10,000 in my pocket thank you.
I might not win but I"ll have more left than most  

Might not win but think there could be a good chance of you making the top 5 and get an option  

No chance. The rest of us only have to hit one cashing player to be ahead.

Not really. You and a lot of people have 10% of 10 players. If one of them cashes for the minimum you"re only making around the $2,000 mark (the min-cash at the 2008 WSOP was $21230). At 10% stake of a player and having one player cashing, like you said, you would need (basing my calculations on the 2008 payout list) one player to break the top 63 to beat his $10k.

2008 payout:
64th - 72nd =  $96,500
55th - 63rd = $115,800

While spreading your bets accross 10 players gives you a greater chance of having a player make this top 63 in all reality you will either need multiple cashes or one MAJOR cash to beat the $10k that he"s keeping in his pocket. Like someone already said though - there"s no fun in keeping the $10k in your pocket.

Thank you please.

[keith101]

Phil Hellmuth
Daniel Negreanu
Patrik Antonius
Allen Cunningham
Mike Matusow
Roland de Wolfe
Dutch Boyd
Roberto Romanello
Vitaly Lunkin
Phil Ivey
10 % on each

[Ant1966]

Kara Scott 20%
Gavin Smith 20%
Chris Moorman 20%
Greg Raymer 20%
Allen Cunningham 20%