Appreciate views on a hand I played at Luton on Saturday please - I"m thinking I got myself in a hole needlessley, and thought my way into trouble... but would appreciate feedback.
Table is a ******* of a starting table with a who"s who of 3 APAT champions, 5 players from the Euro Team champs, and a recent $100k online winner. There were three players I didn"t know, and that I was happier playing pots with, although two were on my left and had position on me - this made my button highly valuable.
I was up to 18k early on, and matey on my left was down to around 8k. We"d clashed in a pot recently, and I had been able to move him off a huge hand on the flop. Since then he seemed a little tilty, and called every raise I made simply cos he wanted to play in hands with me (and I was happy with that!).
So the hand in question - blinds are 100/200 and the table folds round to my button and I open for 550 with jd
. Matey snap calls in the SB - BB folds.
Flop is :
:
pot is 1300
Matey leads for 500 - I take this to be either a feeler bet, or a stopper bet if he has a small bit of the flop. I certainly don"t think he"s value betting here, given that I had a really LAG image and he must know that I"m going to c-bet - therefore he is likely to check a strong hand almost all of the time here.
I raise to 1800 - the size of the pot. Matey snap shoves. I need to call approx 5800 to win approx 11k - pot odds in the region of 2:1 (the numbers and bet sizes are a little hazy, but in this ball park)
I talk to him a bit and get a real sense that he hates the fact that I haven"t folded - he clearly didn"t want a call. I don"t believe he has a made hand and also don"t believe he"s drawing to a flush (previously he had check/called when drawing).... I just couldn"t make sense of the betting, and put him on air/over cards, or something silly like A2 for bottom pair.
If I call and lose I still have around 9k. Win and I have 27k. If the dimes are live, I have the correct odds to call. Throw in the J and 8 as live cards, and I"m 60/40 favourite.
Would you call? If not, why not?