Its high stakes and likely a top standard of adjusting and hand reading, Gameflow is a huge factor so very wide ranges and most likely, lots of factors we can"t possibly capture in a HH review.
Villain likely 3 bets his nut hands (unlikely to slowplay given history) and some hands that don"t quite make his calling range.
So his flatting range is something like, 22-TT, TJs+,QJs+,KQs,AJo,KQo.
On the Flop. Villain is oop so he is less likely to float light though he may feel comfortable enough versus hero to do so sometimes. Its high stakes so unlikely to play fit or fold.
22 & 66, again are unlikely to slowplay given history, and of the broadway hands, any pair or backdoor straight or flush & combo type hands are more likely to continue.
That's, AcJc,AdJd,AsJs,ATs,KQs,KcJc,KdJd,KsJs,KcTc,KdTd,KsTs,QcJc,QdJd,QsJs,QcTc,QdTd,QsTs,JcTc,JdTd,JsTs,KQo,
TT-77,55-33.
Turn is checked through so no change to the villains range at the river. Betting the turn will further narrow villains range, balances hero"s barrelling range and makes the river easier to play.
Villain weak leads the river, he's unlikely to do this with his air or showdown value hands, leaving TT-99 more likely.
Villain needs to be bluffing 45% for a call to break even. Is this an elaborate weak lead bluff reraise 45% of the time, my at least 3 poker levels below these guys brain says no way.