Saturday Donkey

[noble1]

Hows the betting going -/+ ?

not the greatest day yesterday , lifetime its a plus

had a read of TKays thread on the free bet thing, if anyone has a free bet in hand then u have to take into account the over round, believe it or not the race betting markets are pretty efficient, so without writing a thesis study on market efficiency just look for a race/event with semi to strong market info with as low of a over round as u can find and it doesn"t matter long term what odds u take..

[noble1]

Fred Winter Juvenile
4:40 - Zamdy Man - got some 30"s on bf
        Ruacana - had some 22"s on bf

[noble1]

CHELTENHAM
2.05 - Junior
        Berties Dream

3:20 - Smad Place

4:00 - Divers

[noble1]

CHELTENHAM
2:05 - Princeton Plains
        Il Fenomeno

3:20 - Silviniaco Conti

4:00 - Cottage Oak

4:40 - Ma Filleule

5:15 - Renard
        Anquetta

[noble1]

ok the Lincoln meeting starts next week so its time to get warmed up for the flat season [hooray ]

LINGFIELD
2:20 - Fratellino
        Woolfall Sovereign

both generally 12"s and 14"s with the bookies, 15"s and 16"s as i write on BF.

3:30 - Cai Shen

5.9 on BF as i write and 9/2 with most of the bookmakers.

[noble1]

DONCASTER

2:40 - Extraterrestrial 30"s bf
        Ocean Tempest 16"s bf
        Chosen Character 18"s bf

3:50 - Swiftly Done 27"s bf
        Memory Cloth 28"s bf
        Chapter Seven 15"s bf

course inspection at 6am...

[noble1]

DONCASTER - sat 30/3/13

spring mile
1.55 - Mr Spiggott 24"s bf
        Gaul Wood  11.5"s bf
        Garde Cotiere 18.5"s bf

[nosey-p]

1.55 Educate, not an original pick but an easy ew bet
3.05 Strictly Silver
      one to watch for the future" Hit The Jackpot"  

[noble1]

1.55 Educate, not an original pick but an easy ew bet
3.05 Strictly Silver
      one to watch for the future" Hit The Jackpot"  

DONCASTER - sat 30/3/13

lincoln
3.05 - Chapter Seven 15"s bf [hoping pace wise that Chosen Character or Gladys Gal sets it up for him as he"s drawn between the pair and i"m hoping he will just track in behind]

Anderiego might be a interesting each way shot , another O"Meara horse to watch out for Wayne....

[noble1]

Dubai World Cup

18.05 - Dullahan 14"s+ for a decent value bet

[noble1]

Aintree

2.00 - Flaxen Flare
2.30 - Cape Tribulation - ew
3.00 - The New One
Tough race to sort, Grandouet and Countrywide Flame are unproven, Zarkandar fell last year at the sixth and most probably would need the ground softer today to be in the mix. Which leaves only 3 other realistic contenders, Oscar Whisky 7/8 over 20f and 21f, Thousand Stars who keeps chasing OW home in the last 2 runnings of this race, then we have the The New One who reminds me of Solwhit when he won at 5 years old in this race back in 2009. Hmmm i should just watch but i need some invested interest so i"ll side with The New One having managed to get 4/1 with WH this morning. I"ll watch OW in running and may have a saver, strange that Geraghty has jumped off but it wouldn"t be the first time he"s made the wrong call.

[noble1]

AINTREE

3:05 - Cue Card - ew
3:40 - Sizing Santiago - ew
        There"s No Panic
4:15 - Master Of The Sea
4:50 - Prima Porta - edit n/r
        Salubrious

edit - with Prima Porta pulling out, i"ve gone for There"s No Panic in the Topham on the nose

[noble1]

AINTREE

my Grand National 3 for tomorrow

Saint Are
Join Together
Balthazar King

[noble1]

AINTREE Grand National Day

see above for my 3 donks for the big"un - edit Rare Bob is also interesting, well supported, decent form at fairyhouse last 2 runs and ok"ish aintree record..

3:25 - Duke Of Lucca
        Ballyoliver

5:10 - First In The Queue
        Ranjaan

all on the nose, can"t wait for the flat season to get into full flow

[nosey-p]

AINTREE Grand National Day

see above for my 3 donks for the big"un - edit Rare Bob is also interesting, well supported, decent form at fairyhouse last 2 runs and ok"ish aintree record..

3:25 - Duke Of Lucca
        Ballyoliver

5:10 - First In The Queue
        Ranjaan

all on the nose, can"t wait for the flat season to get into full flow