This last four days I have been sticking to a pretty good disciplined schedule as far as poker goes. I have been getting back from work at around 4:30 - 5pm and have played each evening for about an hour. My results playing the £10nl tables are as follows:-
Tue = +£4
Wed = -£2
Thu = +£13
Fri = +£17
Obviously the figures are rounded up and down to the nearest whole number but I have made 3 buyins over the week for this level and I think I have played well. In the past this used to be pretty standard for me and I will see how I do now this weekend Even in terms of real money won based on my results so far this week that is a good week. Playing the lower limit takes the actual money out of it more (which becomes a concern even when playing inside your bankroll when you are on an bad run) and makes you more focused on playing correctly and making the right plays. It is not very exciting though and wins and losses mean less. Which is actually a good thing.
What I think I should do here, what I would advise somebody else to do is stay playing at this level for a couple of weeks, maybe a month. Setup a schedule that you stick too and record your results. If you are getting good results then try that same schedule again at the next level up and slowly work your way back to where you are playing confidently but don"t go outside your bankroll. Hmm that sounds like a good idea, I"m good at this pokerz business.
The problem is I have no inclination to do that. I still have more than £600 sat on Sky Poker (so I am actually up on the year which is pretty amazing considering I have been playing useless, I am down at holdem cash but am up at tournaments and Omaha cash) so my brain is saying just go back and play the £30 buyin games again, they are within your bankroll in theory and you know you can beat those players. I am well aware this is not a good idea at this point though.
Well I am going to give my advice a go anyway and see how I do. If my discipline holds out I hope that my game will start to come back together. The plan is from now until the end of next week and I am going to play £10nlhe tables only. I will multi table 4 or 5 tables at a time. I will then record the results and see how I do.
26/03/2011 = 8pm to 9pm (+£19.21)
27/03/2011 = 6:30pm to 7:30pm (+£4.54)
28/03/2011 = 6:30pm to 7:30pm (+£6.39 - changed session time to 9pm to 10pm due to being stuck at work)
29/03/2011 = 5:30pm to 6:30pm (-£12.56)
30/03/2011 = 5:30pm to 6:30pm (+£23.78)
31/03/2011 = 7pm to 8pm (-£5.21)
01/04/2011 = 10am to 12pm (+£5.29)
01/04/2011 = 1pm to 2pm (Did not play)
01/04/2011 = 4pm to 5pm (-£7.21)
02/04/2011 = 10am to 11:30am (Did not play)
03/04/2011 = 4pm to 5pm (Did not Play)
This is 12.5 hours
They say the average winning player should make 5BB/100 - I should point out I have never met they so I have no idea if they has the qualifications to decided this. A suspect you should have a high expectation at this level.
Anyway lets say that I get dealt 250 hands per hour (50 per table) that's 3125 hands
If I can run at 5BB/100 that's 50p I should make per 100 hands
So the expectation based on this should be to win around £15.60 for an average player at this level. Well OK we will see how I go compared to that. I have to be honest and say that sounds ridiculously easy are my calculations even right? I know I may have under estimated the hand per hour but even if it was 70/table then the expectation is still only around £22. Basically what this seems to be saying is that I should be very happy with anything over £25 profit.
Edit for update ended up with a profit of £34.23, but did put in an extra session during which I lost £33.55 so it ended up being basically a break even run.
