so the background to the OP is now clear. Leigh made a "good" call with the AK, and the guy hits his 30% shot, and that"s all she wrote.
......and that 30% shot is why we should be folding AK in the OP.
Steve, you"re in a different league to me with MTT and SATs and well poker in general so keen to discuss with you and learn at the same time..
Suppose we do fold the AK, and wait for a better spot with perhaps one of the shorter stacks.
It is a safe-ish assumption that at some point very soon either -
a) small stack will knock off a small stack and then you"ll have 3 large stacks, instead of just 2. and we are all the same boat.
b) We"ll look to bully the Short stack, who will themselves within a few rounds be looking to shove lightish. When they do shove, wouldn"t we find ourselves in a not to disilimar position we found ourselves in BvB - OK, maybe not with our whole stack at risk, but a 70/30 or flipping and losing would just about eliminate us anyway.
Can"t get around why we think BB is not bullying himself, knowing we can"t call because of everything everyone has said. We know that, he"ll know that...so the fact we have a genuine hand, still snapping him.
a little fishes thoughts to learn to be a shark!