Amateur Poker Association & Tour
Poker Forum => Strategy => Topic started by: Chipaccrual on August 12, 2013, 14:23:02 PM
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Here"s one for the mathematicians out there.
Horrible exit hand with 20 mins to go in last night"s GPS Day 1a.
3 way allin. AA v JJ v AJ on a AJ6 flop.
I"m trying to get my head around the odds of top set vs middle set vs top two pair.
I"ve made a go at the calculation over on Blonde and will post it up here later, but does anyone else want to have a go at working out the odds ?
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As I said on the phone - just work out the equity calculation instead, it"s much easier..... I reckon it"s approx somewhere in the region of 100%/0%/0% on favour of the AA ;)
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Expect you to donate 50p to charity for this one :p
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Expect you to donate 50p to charity for this one :p
I felt a little sick for a few minutes, but got over it pretty quickly.
After all, we all know online poker is rigged and they didn"t want 7 of 18 to make it through to Day 2 ;D
I thought it was 50p for a bad beat, surely this is just a cooler of epic proportions ?
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188,353,440 : 1
;)
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188,353,440 : 1
;)
You are more trusting in your source than I would be ;)
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188,353,440 : 1
;)
Can you show the formula? ;D
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Easy fold.
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You can use this for two hands at a time :
http://www.thehendonmob.com/pokercalc/
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if all cards were known, this leaves 46 cards unaccounted for..
C(46,3)=15180
the flop must include one of the remaining aces and one of the remaining jacks, leaving 44 cards
1*1*44
15180/44 = 345
so approx 344 to 1 against
unknown cards pre-flop i"d guess the easiest way of working the probability out then would be to multiply the odds 344/1 by the chance that two players at an X-handed table are dealt pocket pairs by the chance another player has one of each AND by the chance that they all see the flop...
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http://people.math.sfu.ca/~alspach/index.html
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Not quite the same % involved but I saw QQ v AK v AQ AIPF at DTD on Saturday.
Obv AQ wins
Live poker = Rigged!