Amateur Poker Association & Tour

Poker Forum => Strategy => Topic started by: jjandellis on November 27, 2007, 23:15:53 PM

Title: Analyse This?
Post by: jjandellis on November 27, 2007, 23:15:53 PM
Also posted on Blonde...

OK, I appear to be pulling myself out of my horrific recent run. It seems things are clicking back into place after an absence from the felt (virtual) and I have strung together some dominant displays in MTT"s. I have found that I get good results in the Stars $109 EPT sats, so tend to play these where possible and trade in for W$.

However, I have dropped the baton at the last a few times and bubbled. Then this hand happened with 9 runners remaining and 5 getting tickets to the $650 (all have cashed for about $100):

PokerStars Game #13507415341: Tournament #68089777, $25+$2 Hold'em No Limit - Level XII (600/1200) - 2007/11/27 - 17:49:11 (ET)
Table "68089777 3" 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 2: shniur2004 (31753 in chips)
Seat 3: jjandellis (43550 in chips)
Seat 4: LucaYepa (29376 in chips)
Seat 5: El Dueño 617 (32300 in chips)
Seat 6: marnau1 (37408 in chips)
Seat 7: jack17_at (29905 in chips)
Seat 8: sredna lrak (4145 in chips)
Seat 9: Babuyaya (24063 in chips)
shniur2004: posts the ante 125
jjandellis: posts the ante 125
LucaYepa: posts the ante 125
El Dueño 617: posts the ante 125
marnau1: posts the ante 125
jack17_at: posts the ante 125
sredna lrak: posts the ante 125
Babuyaya: posts the ante 125
LucaYepa: posts small blind 600
El Dueño 617: posts big blind 1200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to jjandellis [ ]
marnau1: folds
jack17_at: folds
sredna lrak: folds
Babuyaya: folds
shniur2004: folds
jjandellis: raises 2800 to 4000
LucaYepa: raises 8000 to 12000
El Dueño 617: folds

A bit of history in this. Luca has re-raised me most of the time I have raised from the button. Alot of the time I respected his re-raise, as I was at it with hands like AJ/A10. However a couple of times I have gone back over the top to make him fold. He is also very fortunate to still be in after I caught him re-raising with A4 to my A9. He rivered a 4 when all in pre-flop...

So what do u do with your pocket  here???
Title: Re: Analyse This?
Post by: jjandellis on November 27, 2007, 23:16:41 PM
Sorry this should be on the hand analysis child board..
Title: Re: Analyse This?
Post by: Swinebag on November 27, 2007, 23:37:47 PM
what have you got or are we making an annette_15 type decision? (She"d push all-in)

or is my PC just not displaying your cards?
Title: Re: Analyse This?
Post by: WiseOwl on November 28, 2007, 15:06:15 PM
With 5 left in, the average chip stack would be 46,500, so I would not have opened the pot in the first place unless it was a monster and even then I would have folded to the re-raise. The risk-reward factor does not merit getting involved in this hand, even with pocket aces.  BTW, what did you have?
Title: Re: Analyse This?
Post by: kinboshi on November 28, 2007, 15:58:23 PM
With no hole cards, I"d fold.  If I was very brave, I"d shove all-in.
Title: Re: Analyse This?
Post by: RioRodent on November 28, 2007, 20:20:11 PM
From the way the betting"s gone and from my note"s on Lee"s play... I"d put him on pocket 6"s.

(Daniel Negreanu taught me how to do this!)

8)
Title: Re: Analyse This?
Post by: lukybugur on November 28, 2007, 21:45:35 PM
I don"t have notes on either player but I reckon you"re holding 88 here and facing a higher pocket pair.

With two overcards you"re 50/50 at best. If you decide to play, you"re gonna have to put the decision onto him for all his chips by pushing all in over the top pre-flop or be prepared for him pushing the other 60% of his chips in on the flop (which is likely to bring an over card). If I think I"m racing or drawing to 2 outs that close to a big prize, I"d fold.

But then, I"m a donk!!!
Title: Re: Analyse This?
Post by: RioRodent on November 28, 2007, 22:29:54 PM
and I"d also put LucaYepa on an overpair... but probably no bigger than 77.
Title: Re: Analyse This?
Post by: kinboshi on November 29, 2007, 12:40:40 PM
I reckon he"s got the 6s 6d .

I think you"re right about LucaYepa - I"d even put him on exactly the same suits as well.

;D
Title: Re: Analyse This?
Post by: Swinebag on November 29, 2007, 13:19:19 PM
lee pushes all in

luca calls with  4s 5s

;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Analyse This?
Post by: kinboshi on November 29, 2007, 16:12:05 PM
No, I definitely think me and Rio are right with this one.

;D
Title: Re: Analyse This?
Post by: lukybugur on November 29, 2007, 16:50:45 PM
Well, I assume he has two live cards?  :-\ What does Lee push with ... ?

LucaYep now added to my fishing list!  ;D
Title: Re: Analyse This?
Post by: kinboshi on November 29, 2007, 19:39:12 PM
Quote from: lukybugur on November 29, 2007, 16:50:45 PM

Well, I assume he has two live cards?  :-\ What does Lee push with ... ?

LucaYep now added to my fishing list!  ;D


Like we"ve said - Lee pushed with 6s 6d .
Title: Re: Analyse This?
Post by: RioRodent on November 29, 2007, 20:44:47 PM
Quote from: Kinboshi on November 29, 2007, 12:40:40 PM

I reckon he"s got the 6s 6d .

I think you"re right about LucaYepa - I"d even put him on exactly the same suits as well.

;D



Daniel [Neg] never taught me to work out the suits pre-flop... I"m impressed!!  :o
Title: Re: Analyse This?
Post by: kinboshi on November 29, 2007, 21:03:17 PM
It was Alan [Cunningham] who taught me that one... ;D