A very sick session - Not just a bad beat story. Would welcome comments about my play on each three and whether I should have got away from them.
What about the first one. In hindsight this guy only has 26/0 stats albeit over just 19 hands. Is this enough evidence to just flat call pre rather than 3 bet, even in SB/BB scenario ? What about after 4 bet - fold, call or shove ? Different to previous hand when I had TT in sb and aggro on button when probably flat call best and let him bet into me. I think if we are looking for value we need to raise. What about post flop should I have keep betting on turn ? Is there any way I could /should have got away from it or absolute cooler?
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4:
http://www.pokertracker.comBTN: $9.59
SB: $10.91
Hero (BB): $10.42
UTG: $2.94
UTG+1: $10.00
UTG+2: $11.07
MP: $19.24
MP+1: $11.40
CO: $11.10
SB posts SB $0.05, Hero posts BB $0.10
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has
fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.75, SB raises to $2.25, Hero calls $1.50
Flop : ($4.50, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.72, SB calls $1.72
Turn : ($7.94, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3.03, SB raises to $6.06, Hero calls $3.03
River : ($20.06, 2 players)
SB bets $0.88 and is all-in, Hero calls $0.39 and is all-in
SB shows As
(Two Pair, Aces and Sixes) (Pre 88%, Flop 91%, Turn 95%)
Hero shows
(Two Pair, Kings and Sixes) (Pre 12%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)
SB wins $19.90
What about this 2nd hand. Should I play any differently. Can I get away from this or just cooler again ? 447 hands on villain - 15/10/7.
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4:
http://www.pokertracker.comBTN: $10.09
SB: $5.00
BB: $10.18
Hero (UTG): $10.00
UTG+1: $5.00
UTG+2: $11.90
MP: $13.24
MP+1: $2.60
CO: $12.32
SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has
Hero raises to $0.30, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.90, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.60
Flop : ($1.95, 2 players)
As
Hero checks, BTN bets $1.10, Hero calls $1.10
Turn : ($4.15, 2 players) Th
Hero checks, BTN bets $2.90, Hero calls $2.90
River : ($9.95, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $5.19 and is all-in, Hero calls $5.10 and is all-in
BTN shows
(Full House, Aces full of Fives) (Pre 88%, Flop 100%, Turn 100%)
Hero shows
(Two Pair, Aces and Fives) (Pre 12%, Flop 0%, Turn 0%)
BTN wins $19.24
What about 3rd hand ? To be honest by this point I wasn"t playing at my best. Should I be raising pre flop/flop/turn ? Should I have folded to raise on turn even with so much money in pot ? After this hand I realise wasn"t going to be my day so I cut my losses and stopped the session,a I would have been playing on tilt. No hands on villain.
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4:
http://www.pokertracker.comBTN: $20.25
SB: $10.00
BB: $9.60
UTG: $9.33
UTG+1: $10.43
Hero (UTG+2): $10.00
MP: $8.80
MP+1: $15.91
CO: $29.76
SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has
fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, MP calls $0.40, fold, CO calls $0.40, fold, fold, fold
Flop : ($1.75, 4 players)
UTG+1 bets $1.00, Hero calls $1.00, fold, CO calls $1.00
Turn : ($4.75, 3 players)
UTG+1 bets $2.90, Hero calls $2.90, CO raises to $5.80, fold, Hero raises to $8.60 and is all-in, CO calls $2.80
River : ($24.85, 2 players)
Hero shows
(One Pair, Kings) (Pre 74%, Flop 87%, Turn 7%)
CO shows
(Two Pair, Kings and Jacks) (Pre 26%, Flop 13%, Turn 93%)
CO wins $23.73
By the way for the record the odds of these 3 hands happening in 189 hands session I make approx. as follows -
1st hand - I have AK pre/ somebody has AA/ A on flop - approx. 83x 55 x16 = approx 73k-1 per hand
2nd hand - I have AK pre/somebody has AA / K on flop - approx. 83x 55 x 6 = approx 27K-1. per hand
3rd hand - I have AK / K on flop / somebody has 2 pair by turn. - approx 83 x 6 x 10 = approx 5k.-1 per hand
I stand to be corrected but I make likelihood of all 3 hands happening in 189 hand session approx 73k/189x 27k/189 x 5k/189 approx
1.45 million to 1. At least not likely to happen again to me in my lifetime !!