Several words get used all the time like "feeling confident, playing well, variance, running good and in the zone" but are these words another way of saying "I got lucky"?
All poker players will agree that they is luck in the game, depending on who you ask you will get a different view on how much.
Feeling Confident
CONFIDENCE (noun)
The noun CONFIDENCE has 5 senses:
1. freedom from doubt; belief in yourself and your abilities
2. a feeling of trust (in someone or something)
3. a state of confident hopefulness that events will be favorable
4. a trustful relationship
5. a secret that is confided or entrusted to another
I have only felt confident once, last year when playing the ME at DTD. Des asked me "are you feeling confident" (like he does with us all) but for the first time I said yes and meant it. Confidence is a self believe in yourself, you feel that you have an edge on all the other players but how do you measure confidence? Is it how much money you have won, how many tournaments you have won or can you be the worse player in the world but you still feel confident that this tournament is going to be the one.
We all enter tournaments thinking we are going to win or what is the point in entering. But how many times do you believe you are going to win, what outside events effect you? Did you have an argument with your partner, are you having problems at work, did someone cut you up on the way to the casino, did Ger buy me that drink. All these can affect your game.
In sport allot of the top players have mind coaches particular in golf. To help clear your mind of crap like "did I set sky to tape coach trip or I need to pick some milk up on the way home" so they can focus on the shot in hand. Can this be the same in poker? I know they are books about this but do they work?
Like I said earlier I have only felt confident once when starting a tournament, why I felt different this time around than any other time is a mystery to me but I did. I enter all tournaments on the belief that I'm going to do well but don't expect to win. I finished 3rd in the tournament playing some off the best poker I have ever played. Was this a coincidence or did I get lucky?
Playing Well
What does playing well mean? You can lose (not cash) for 20 games in a row but you can still be playing well or you can be the worse player in the world and cash all the time. But who decides if you are playing well or not? They is only one person who can tell you this YOU. I have gone through periods when I think I'm playing well but not seeing any rewards but still felt good about my game, this is when the word variance gets used, but can it be overused? Do we use the word variance to cover the cracks in our game? Does it mask how bad we are playing or is it another word for unlucky?
Running Good
I play about 16 MTTS in a month (500 + runners) I cash about 4 times of them and run deep twice (out of the 4) and FT once (out of the 4) and for every 4 times I FT I will be in the top 3 once. So on that basis I run good once every four month or every 64 games, is that good or bad? On those stats if I was to play 16 MTTS a day I will run good every 4 days. You see players on TV who always seem to be running deep in tournaments but how many tournaments have they entered? For me "running good" is in the short term or another word for "got lucky more than once in a week"
In The Zone
In over 6 years of playing poker I can only say I have only used this saying once when I played an online MTT were everything went perfectly, my big hands got paid, I laid down big hands, I ran big bluffs, I played the player (not the cards) my chips was never in danger. In short I played the perfect game. But I played the same way as I did in other games and not win or even cash or not made the first break so why would I use the phrase "in the zone" just because I won an MTT? Could it be I got Aces against Kings 4 times, could it be I flopped the nuts more times than I can remember, could it be that my opponents was laddering rather than playing for the win? Or is, in the zone another way of saying "I got very very lucky"
So my question to you is would you prefer to be "confident, playing well, running well, in the zone" or would you prefer to be lucky or is it the same thing?