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Author Topic: Golf Gurus  (Read 44066 times)

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Honeybadg

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Golf Gurus
« on: March 12, 2009, 08:52:57 AM »
... I have invested some of yesterday"s profits on Geoff Ogilvy to win the CA Championship.

13/1 on Betair.

For me that is an outstanding price for the world No 4 who was in such imperious form at the Accenture Match Play.

Ogilvy won the event last year so I think that is worth some hay.

Tiger is a 3.7/1 shot in first Strokeplay tournament for 9 months (also great form on the course) but I would guess too early.

Casey 39/1 who Ogilvy beat in the final and McIlroy 31/1 who he beat more narrowly in a classic value too.

Thoughts?

L
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lukybugur

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Re: Golf Gurus
« Reply #1 on: March 12, 2009, 10:24:29 AM »
Golf"s the only sport I take a punt on and now we have a spot on here for it  8)  Nice work L.

As all players have to play the 4 rounds (no cut), I"m lookin at the other young fit guys. I"m liking Betfair"s 45/1 odds on Ogilvy"s Cobra pal Camilo Villegas. I have a few £ on my Sky account and was attracted by their 50/1 odds on Robert Allenby - coming off a 5th in Honda Classic, he"s a great iron player, big off the tee and he finished tied 3rd in 2007.
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lukybugur

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Re: Golf Gurus
« Reply #2 on: March 12, 2009, 10:26:42 AM »
WTF?? Sky have suspended betting on Allenby??
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Chipaccrual

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Re: Golf Gurus
« Reply #3 on: March 12, 2009, 10:54:44 AM »
Quote from: lukybugur on March 12, 2009, 10:26:42 AM

WTF?? Sky have suspended betting on Allenby??


Wow, the market must really follow your posts on APAT Neil.   ;D

Sky are obviously running scared after your tip.
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Honeybadg

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Re: Golf Gurus
« Reply #4 on: March 12, 2009, 11:17:44 AM »
... yes I like Villegas ... I will make a small bet on that too ...

What is the story with Allenby?

It has been a while since I nailed a decent golf bet ... Goosen has cost me dear with last round collapses ... he likely has a decent chance too!

L
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lukybugur

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Re: Golf Gurus
« Reply #5 on: March 12, 2009, 11:44:43 AM »
LOL ... well when you bet big stakes like £2.50 E/W ...  ;D

Goosen"s done you too L ... ? Crashing bottle has stopped me betting on him at all now.

Allenby"s stats are good - it"s a punt but a calculated one ;)
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Honeybadg

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Re: Golf Gurus
« Reply #6 on: March 12, 2009, 11:51:52 AM »
... why was the betting suspended?

Goosen ... I nearly hedged it last round ... but thought he could close it out ... he has won things ... so a tough beat.

More meetings ...

L
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THEGUY84

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Re: Golf Gurus
« Reply #7 on: March 12, 2009, 12:38:29 PM »
betting golf is great, I picked immelman to win master pre event and I won a tidy sum!! I like you piicks badg!!
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FNP,
 
Though I would give this blogging a shot!!
http://theguy84.blogspot.com/

Swinebag

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Re: Golf Gurus
« Reply #8 on: March 12, 2009, 12:56:22 PM »
I love spread betting on golf. It keeps the excitement going for longer, even if your chosen player cant win or finish top 6.

Ogilvy seems a great pick. I"d like to see what he"s trading at on the spreads
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Quote from: Chipaccrual
Rob, you are a genius.
Quote from: jacklevel06
You are a genius Rob  :D

lukybugur

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Re: Golf Gurus
« Reply #9 on: March 12, 2009, 13:04:52 PM »
Quote from: Honeybadg on March 12, 2009, 11:51:52 AM

... why was the betting suspended?


Dunno. I thought it might have been because I went through EasyOdds.com but when I logged onto SkyBet directly, same thing happened.

I"m on Allenby and Villegas as above. Ogilvy great value but two wins on the trot ... tough going.
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lukybugur

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Re: Golf Gurus
« Reply #10 on: March 12, 2009, 16:34:48 PM »
Live Coverage on this at http://www.pgatour.com/liveat/r473/tour/player.html

Adam Scott, Jim Furyk and Rory McIllroy next on the tee - awesome.
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Honeybadg

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Re: Golf Gurus
« Reply #11 on: March 12, 2009, 17:31:42 PM »
... what"s that DOG Ogilivy up to! (+2)

Money on Goosen quite pleasing at -4!

L
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Honeybadg

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Re: Golf Gurus
« Reply #12 on: March 12, 2009, 17:50:14 PM »
... Allenby off to a go start ... but what is the Goose on ... -5 after 8 ...

He was second equal last year ... 69/1 looking good now! Into 15/1 now ... I think I would argue that is value ... though he has bitten me before!

Course looks playing easy ... shame my dogs are trailing up the rear.

Casey +2
Ogilvy +2

Who in earth is James Kingston -5 after 7? Worth a sliver at 162.5/1 ... right?

Louis
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Honeybadg

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Re: Golf Gurus
« Reply #13 on: March 12, 2009, 21:11:11 PM »
... nor sure what to make of Ogilvy ... though made it make to +1 ... fair chunk of money at 94/1 if you want it ... 8 shots and a lot of players in the way ...

My money shots in play.

Goosen -7 ... Betfair = 10.5
Kingston -6 ... Betfair = 70
Villegas -5 ... Betfair = 16.5

Harrington ominous at -6 after 17
McIlroy -4 after 16
Mickelson -4 after 15
Allenby -3 after 17

Looks like an amazing tournament in play.

Louis
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lukybugur

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Re: Golf Gurus
« Reply #14 on: March 13, 2009, 08:28:55 AM »
Villegas -5 and Allenby -3 - I"m happy with that so far.
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