thinkerJE from Chelters thread...
If super Saturday goes ahead keep any eye on the betfair hurdle - 3 coral cup winners and 4 county hurdle winners have run in it in the last 8 years...
just some quick recent stats that might help some1 plant the lucky pin in the right place for the betfair hurdle formerly the totesport trophy and in the age of the abacus it was once upon a time called the schweppes... 50/50 to be ran so they forecast, crossing my fingers
5 to 7 yo"s have taken 9 of the last 10....
the last 5 winners have all been aged 5 or 6.....
6 of the last 7 winners carried 10-9 or less...
of the 3 horses that carried 10-10+ since 2000 to win in this race, all 3 had finished 1st or 2nd in either the Boylesports.com H'cap Hurdle or had finished 1st or 2nd in this race the previous year....
8 out of 10 winners finished in the first 3 last time out [5 of them had finished 1st lto]
8 out of 10 winners ran in a class 2 or better handicap hurdle lto [the other 2 had only ran over hurdles 3 times in there career]
10 out of 10 winners had run no more than 6 times since August...
9 out of 10 winners had run in 6 or fewer handicap hurdles....
10 out of 10 winners had won no more than 2 handicap hurdles in there career...
10 out of 10 winners had won a hurdles race with 11+ runners.....
7 of the 10 winners had finished in the first 3 in a hurdles race worth 16K+, the other 3 had won lto and had ran no more than 3 hurdle races in there careers....
out of the races that trainers will plan out a route for there horses, the recent prep races they target is the Bavaria Imported Premium Lager H"cap Hurdle 4 out of the last 10 winners ran in that... and in the Stellar Football End of Transfer Window H"cap Hurdle 3 out of the last 10 winners ran in that one.....
