right lets have a crack at the Newmarket July meet, with all the rain the odd surprise met happen
1:20 - Bahrain Trophy
i"m not a fan of betting short prices and i want to take on Gosden"s entry - Shantaram, i prefer to back 1m4f winners in this race and as Valiant and Rewarded haven"t raced further than 10f then at the prices i prefer
Yazdi should handle ground conditions plus the drop back to 13f should be more suitable after his lto at Ascot in the Queens Vase and it won"t be surprising if he causes a minor shock at odds of 6/1 atm with the street bookies, trading around the 8.4 mark on BF as i write...
1:50 - TNT July Stakes
Gale Force Ten @3/1 as i write
Alhebayeb @11/2 as i write, you might get 8"s on BF if you get on early, i"ll be surprised if his price gets any bigger..
the ground sways me towards these two, Sir Prancealot"s action puts me off him, Ahern met improve but at the prices i"d favour Gale Force Ten to be the better of the two from the Norfolk Stakes..
the Windsor Castle Stakes was a pretty decent race again this year and the obvious one is Alhebayeb, Smoothtalkinrascal didn"t get the best of runs and it won"t surprise me one jot if he improves for the step up in trip, i met be tempted with a each way punt if his price keeps drifting..
2:25 - Goldsmiths Handicap
Silver Blaze @16/1
Zaina @16/1
both can be backed at bigger on BF at 19"s and 24"s currently... Nabucco and Hajras have solid claims but in such a open looking race on paper they are way to short for me to back...
3:00 - Princess of Wales"s Goldsmiths Stakes
Quest For Peace
Fiorente - both trading at 14"s in the main, better prices to be had on BF for both [especially Q.for.P]
both ran in the Hardwicke but should come on from that as both didn"t get the race ran to suit, i"ve picked the winner for this race for the last two runnings - Crystal Capella and Sans Frontieres, Leigh met remember the latter who won at 14/1 because he couldn"t see why i had picked it out that year, well the Hardwicke was a rather good race that year with Harbinger winning rather nicely.. This years renewal was rather decent and Sea Moon will be hard to beat if he goes for the King George next [just like Harbinger] so keep that in mind... Red Cadeaux should win if he re-produce his Hardwicke run but i have niggling doubts as to whether he is truly suited to Newmarket, so at the prices Quest For Peace and Fiorente appeal, Q.for.P likes Newmarket and the ground is no problem, if he re-produces his form as when behind Al Kazeem then he could cause a shock.. Fiorente should be backed just for Stoutes record in this, plus with Ryan Moore back aboard today that should bring about some more improvement... so to keep my Princess of Wales"s record intact remember i did fancy Red Cadeaux [but not at 5/2
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