Saturday Donkey

[CincinnatiKid]

Champion Stakes

E/W RULER OF THE WORLD

E/W AL KAZEEM (longshot bet)

QE II Stakes

E/W NIGHT OF THUNDER


Melbourne Cup (Nov 4th)

PROTECTIONIST (backed 200/10)

Champion Sprint:

E/W Maarek

[noble1]

the fred total overall currently stands at +229.91 points with last Saturday being a blank..

Doncaster 25th October
3.15 - 5f Handicap
Gladiatrix @25/1  1point win
Demora @14/1  1point win


Aintree
3.00 - Old Roan Chase
Uxizandre @3/1  2point win

3.40 - Veterans Handicap Chase
Lie Forrit @3/1  2point win
Pigeon Island @3/1  2point win


Newbury
1.50 - Horris Hill Stakes
Not So Sleepy @4/1  3point win
Lexington Times @2/1  1.5point win

2.20 - St Simon Stakes
Red Galileo @11/2  1point win
Island Remede @25/1 1point win

[CincinnatiKid]

Champion Stakes

E/W RULER OF THE WORLD

E/W AL KAZEEM (longshot bet)

QE II Stakes

E/W NIGHT OF THUNDER


Melbourne Cup (Nov 4th)

PROTECTIONIST (backed 200/10)

[/b]

Hope some of you follow my tipp.

What a brilliant ride, what a world class horse.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LnzlLHKyw1Q

[Zozzy]

Cheltenham 3:45 - Osborne House Relkeel Hurdle(Grade 2) (1) 2m4f 110yds

Former Champion Hurdle winner Rock on Ruby heads the betting for this highly anticipated Grade 2 clash over hurdles which should turn out to be a proper staying test up the Cheltenham hill. The Harry Fry trained 9 year old was given a nice opener this season with a 3rd place finish behind Purple Bay, although he was destined for a well beat 4th if Irving had stayed on his feet. He should strip a lot fitter tomorrow and has to be respected but LAC FONTANA looks like serious value at 4/1 with Paddy Power. The Paul Nicholls trained 5 year old has to concede weight all round tomorrow, but he is a classy individual that loves it here at Cheltenham, a course where he has already notched up three victories from five runs.

[noble1]

the fred total overall currently stands at +223.41 points

Ascot 14th Febuary
3.50 - Betfair Ascot Chase
Balder Succes @5.9 on BF  2point win

drifted this morning, no apparent reason as to why.. ground and trip are fine imho plus a 6yo Nicholls favourite to take on in Ptit Zig [Nicholls last two hot 6yo"s to run in this race Kauto Stone and Gwanako both got beat]
how many 6yo"s have won this race previously? i"ll let you look  
plus a couple of dodge pots are attracting money - Ma Filleule and Ballycasey

[noble1]

Balder Succes won last week so the fred total overall currently stands at +233.21 points

Kempton 21st Febuary
3.45 - BetBright Chase
Ballinvarrig @14/1  1point win
Tenor Nivernais @14/1  1point win

[nosey-p]

My bets for the day

1.45 Ling, Foxtrot Romeo 6/1
2.35 Kemp, Melodic Rendezvous 9/4
3.30 Newc, Uisge Beatha 11/4

[noble1]

lost 2 points last week so the fred total overall currently stands at +231.21 points

Doncaster 28th Febuary
3.45 - Grimthorpe Chase
Night In Milan @7.4 on bf  2point win
Aachen @16.5 on bf  1point win

Drop Out Joe is favourite at the moment but is coming off a 70 day break and to my eye his jumping is sketchy.
Streams Of Whiskey is coming off a 92 day break who"s a unexposed chaser but if you watch his Haydock win imo thats about his limit of ability in what was a weak race for the prize on offer.
Mon Parrain has claims but can he act as well around Donny as Cheltenham?
Super Duty might spring a surprise but i"d want 16/1+ to chance a small wager at that slim possibility.
The rest of the field you can pick holes in there form so i keep coming back to NIM and Aac.

[noble1]

Cheltenham Day One 2015 10th March

2.40 - Ultima Handicap Chase
Three horses have caught my eye - Annacotty, The Druids Nephew and Barrakilla.
The Druids Nephew heads the market narrowly from the sponsor owned ""its a plot"" Ned Stark TDN has a live chance if he reproduces anything like his run back in November at Cheltenham when he chased home Sam Winner.
Annacotty won at Cheltenham in the Freebets.com Handicap Chase back in January over 21f. He didn't look the likely winner jumping the last in second place plus he was forced to switch around the leader as he powered up the hill. I think the extra 4 furlongs will suit and the extra £50,000 he gets from Freebets if he wins at this years festival is a added incentive for the Keighley team to have him spot on to boost the owners bank balance.
Barrakilla is a powerfully built horse and a step up to this trip may bring plenty of improvement. He has to make the final cut though so if he"s still in come nearer the day my wallet will be opened up

The Druids Nephew @8/1  2point win
Annacotty @20/1  1point ew

[nosey-p]

Keep the write-ups coming, Mr Noble1

[noble1]

ty Wayne  

Cheltenham Day Four 2015 13th March

3.20 - Gold Cup
Ok a look at the big one and for this i"ll just apply some simple logic. Won a grade 1 chase at Kempton, Cheltenham or Leopardstown. Any older than 10+ and your out, defending champions out, Silviniaco Conti is out [to short plus his course form] and sift through prize money won at those three courses.
That leaves Road To Riches, Carlingford Lough and Many Clouds. I"ll put a line through MC for now as i thought it was a sub-std Hennessy that he won although i might have a small saver if his odds on the day drift a tad.

Road To Riches @8/1  2point win [looks to of progressed a lot after a impressive Galway Plate win]
Carlingford Lough @10/1  1point win

last 5 years prize money won at those three courses Kempton, Cheltenham or Leopardstown at any level looking back 2 years, if won 50k plus have a closer look.
2010
Kauto Star 10yo 270k 130k 114k
Imperial Commander 9yo 125k 85k [1st 7/1] 125k Ryanair winner year before
Cooldine 8yo 96k 63k
Mon Mome 10yo 57k  [3rd 50/1]
Tricky Trickster 7yo 45k
Calgary Bay 7yo 19k

2011
Imperial Commander 10yo 270k
Kauto Star 11yo 114k  [3rd 5/1]
Long Run 6yo 102k 34k  [1st 7/2f] King George winner that season and 3rd in the RSA the year before as a 5yo!!!!
What A Friend 8yo 90k  [4th 25/1]
Kempes 8yo 89k  [pu]
Pandorama 8yo 82k 50k  [7th]

2012
Long Run 7yo 285k 102k  [3rd 7/4f] only the one run that season 2nd in the King George
Kauto Star 12yo 102k
Synchronised 9yo 80k  [1st 8/1] won the Lexus that season
Midnight Chase 10yo 56k 28k 22k

2013
Long Run 8yo 285k 113k  [3rd 7/2]
Sir Des Champs 7yo 74k 51k 28k  [2nd 4/1] Leo Hennessy Gold Cup winner and 4th in Lexus beaten by 0.75L
Bobs Worth 8yo 74k 57k  [1st 11/4]  won Nby Hennessy that season and was the RSA winner the year before
Cape Tribulation 9yo 57k 39k  [5th 12/1] 57k Argento winner [now Betbright Chase]

2014
Bobs Worth 9yo 313k 75k  [5th 6/4f] Lexus winner that season
Silviniaco Conti 8yo 114k  [4th 11/4] King George winner that season
Lord Windermere 8yo 85k  [1st 20/1] RSA winner the year before, woeful form beforehand coming into the race
Last Instalment 9yo 76k  [ur 15/2] won the Leo Hennessy Gold Cup that season
The Giant Bolster 9yo 56k  [3rd 14/1]

[noble1]

lost 3 points last week so the fred total overall currently stands at +228.21 points

Sandown 7th March
3.10 - Imperial Cup
Chieftain"s Choice @16/1  1point win
Thistlecrack @14/1  1point win


3 days to go

[noble1]

Cheltenham Day One 2015 10th March

2.40 - Ultima Handicap Chase
Three horses have caught my eye - Annacotty, The Druids Nephew and Barrakilla.
The Druids Nephew heads the market narrowly from the sponsor owned ""its a plot"" Ned Stark TDN has a live chance if he reproduces anything like his run back in November at Cheltenham when he chased home Sam Winner.
Annacotty won at Cheltenham in the Freebets.com Handicap Chase back in January over 21f. He didn't look the likely winner jumping the last in second place plus he was forced to switch around the leader as he powered up the hill. I think the extra 4 furlongs will suit and the extra £50,000 he gets from Freebets if he wins at this years festival is a added incentive for the Keighley team to have him spot on to boost the owners bank balance.
Barrakilla is a powerfully built horse and a step up to this trip may bring plenty of improvement. He has to make the final cut though so if he"s still in come nearer the day my wallet will be opened up

The Druids Nephew @8/1  2point win
Annacotty @20/1  1point ew

Barrakilla @12/1  2point win

[nosey-p]

Had a long weekend away now to get some studying done for tomorrow, now wear did I put that pin

[noble1]

Had a long weekend away now to get some studying done for tomorrow, now wear did I put that pin

u meant your lucky pin right?  


1.30 - Supreme Novices
Don"t fancy anything that much at the odds on offer, i"ll pass and watch.

2.05 - Arkle Trophy
One stick to beat the favourite with and that gives the bookies hope that Un De Sceaux gets beat is his lack of  experience of never having ran at Cheltenham. Also 16 of the last 17 Arkle winners have never fallen or unseated in a chase and Un De Sceaux is the only faller in a chase in this years line up. Now those two stats are enough for me to have a little nibble on Vibrato Valtat.

Vibrato Valtat @5/1  1point win

2.40 - Ultima Handicap Chase [http://www.apat.com/forum/index.php?topic=6616.msg239692#msg239692]
The Druids Nephew @8/1  2point win
Annacotty @20/1  1point ew
Barrakilla @12/1  2point win

3.20 - Champion Hurdle
just watch again and have my fingers crossed for The New One.

4.00 - Mares Hurdle
pass

4.40 - Toby Balding National Hunt Chase
pass  

5.15 - Novices Handicap Chase
Knock House @12/1  1point win
Generous Ransom @8/1  1point win
Stellar Notion @14/1  2point win
Golden Hoof @25/1 2point win