Saturday Donkey

[noble1]

-2 points on day5 means the fred overall currently stands at +325.33 points


an ok Goodwood, the Ebor festival next up then the Cambridgeshire and the Ayr Gold Cup looming up. this season seems to be going by so quickly!

Goodwood
day1  +7 points
day2  -5 points
day3  +11.12 points
day4  +8 points
day5  -2 points

+19.12 points overall for the festival, the Shergar Cup at Ascot is up next on Saturday.

[noble1]

8th August Ascot

12.55 - Shergar Cup Dash
Secretinthepark @8/1  2point win
Justice Day @7/1  2point win

2.05 - Shergar Cup Challenge 12f Handicap
Xinbama @5/1  1point win
worth a punt in what looks a wide open race but even though up in class for his last run at Leicester, with Spencer riding again its worth a tickle. Whacked up 8lbs for a cosy win - http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/results/22-07-2015/leicester/result/683973/tom-cribb-handicap/video

3.15 - Shergar Cup Classic 12f Handicap
Polarisation @6/1  2point win
Havisham @7/1  1point win

[noble1]

8th August Haydock

2.20 - 10f Handicap
Sennockian Star @14/1  1point win

[noble1]

+9 points yesterday so the fred overall currently stands at +334.33 points


next target race will be the Great St. Wilfrid at Ripon next Saturday - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_St._Wilfrid_Stakes

[noble1]

i"ve done a review of the fred since april 2013 [when i started to stake by points] to see how its doing in ROI terms - [counted up the points staked since april 2013 page by page :"( and it was 1566 points staked for +334.33 points profit]

334.33/1566 = +21.34%


i"ve copied all the posts and i"m going to review over time the 1000 or so bets and try to up the ROI..

from my own personal records in my daily betting i know which types of races and distances etc where my better strike rates and ROI"s are..
i just have to figure out how i can apply it to the donk fred within the staking strategy and the tv/festival races i stick to in the fred..

win some lose some, sometimes the odd horrendous losing streak in the fred  but that"s what is so great, the battle is the enjoyable part and hopefully still turn a profit LONG TERM.. if not then review and learn, move on

[mousebob]

After reading your last post my initial thoughts are;
1. Don"t worry about your % profit-it"s already excellent.
2. Whatever your stake per point is you must increase it.
3. Open other accounts with as many bookmakers as possible in order to obtain the best odds
& be able to get your bets on when they start closing your accounts.
4. I must start betting on your selections & not just reading after time!
Good luck & keep up the good studying. Personally I tend to keep to maidens/2 year olds (less form!)
Bob.

[noble1]

After reading your last post my initial thoughts are;
1. Don"t worry about your % profit-it"s already excellent.
2. Whatever your stake per point is you must increase it.
3. Open other accounts with as many bookmakers as possible in order to obtain the best odds
& be able to get your bets on when they start closing your accounts.
4. I must start betting on your selections & not just reading after time!
Good luck & keep up the good studying. Personally I tend to keep to maidens/2 year olds (less form!)
Bob.

thanks Bob, i always want to get better, it just means i have to put the work in
on the stakes - i"m going to change a few things next flat season.
bookies - lots already closed or restricted, still got some but thank god for the exchanges
stick up some of your fancies on here if you think something in the mdns/2yo races is worth a dabble.


15th August Ripon
3.00 - Silver Trophy
Fast Shot @12/1  1point win
Mississippi @16/1  1point win

3.30 - Great St Wilfrid
Shore Step @12/1  1point win
Poyle Vinnie @10/1  1point win
Tatlisu @12/1  1point win

the recent rain means i"m not going mad today at Ripon.

[nosey-p]

Off to Donny to see if I can win some money for York  

[CincinnatiKid]

Arlington Park: Win/Place-Bet: R7 American St.Leger - Lucky Speed 5/1; R8 Secretariat Stakes - Goldstream 9/2. Place-Bet: R10 Arlington Million Stakes - Wake Forrest 12/1

[noble1]

Off to Donny to see if I can win some money for York  

did plan-A work Wayne?

Arlington Park: Win/Place-Bet: R7 American St.Leger - Lucky Speed 5/1; R8 Secretariat Stakes - Goldstream 9/2. Place-Bet: R10 Arlington Million Stakes - Wake Forrest 12/1

good ride from Andreas there Achim...  Todays pun for the Arlington Million is ""The Pizza Man Gets the Dough""

[nosey-p]

Not plan A but plan C  

Plan A win more money then what i went with, fail

Plan B win enough money to pay for the day (Drink, Food, Travaling, Gambling) fail

Plan C win enough money to pay for the gambling, tick

Two good winners 5/1, 13/2 and some 2nds (did not back ew)

Went with the Mrs so was picking 2 or 3 per race so that eat into the profits or would have been a more prfitable day  

Bring On York  

[nosey-p]

1.55 Luchy Beggar
2.30 Recorder / Adventurous
3.05 Tashaar
3.40 Golden Horn
4.20 Sweeping Up
4.55 Tawwaaq  /  Whitman

[nosey-p]

SS given a mark of 62 will be running BH Monday  

[noble1]

one non runner and a 4point loss Saturday leaves the fred currently overall at +330.33 points

Bring On York  

19th August York
1.55 - Symphony Group Stakes h/c
Bogart @12/1  2point win
Mass Rally @16/1  2point win
Shore Step @12/1  1point win

2.30 - Acomb Stakes
Jaadu @33/1  0.5point ew
Recorder @4/1  2point win
Lieutenant General @5/1  1point win

3.05 - Great Voltigeur Stakes
Balios @9/2  2point win
Storm The Stars @3/1  2point win

3.40 - Juddmonte International
csf - 6 to beat 4  2points
csf - 6 to beat 5  1point

4.20 - 16f Handicap
Ridgeway Storm @20/1  1point win
Lungarno Palace @16/1  1point win

4.55 - Nursery h/c
Kassia @14/1  1point win
Dark Defender @12/1  1point win
Whitman @10/1  2point win

[noble1]

a -3point loss yesterday D1 at York leaves the fred currently overall at +327.33 points

well that was a turn up yesterday, i"m not in the fillies are ahead of the colts camp

on to today and a easy day2 card for picking out winners, only fillies and mares races, 2yo races and a one competitive handicap to mull over  layers nirvana


20th August York D2
1.55 - 2yo Yearling Stakes
Lathom @10/1  2point win
Excessable @9/1  1point win
Mr Lupton @16/1  1point win

i"m taking on short favourite Tasleet with the Super Sprint form.


2.30 - Lowther Stakes
Besharah @7/2  3point win
Easton Angel @7/2  1point win

3.05 - 8f Handicap
You"re Fired @6/1  1point ew

3.40 - Yorkshire Oaks
Covert Love @11/4  3point win