3.40 Quiet Reflection
4.20 Jet Setting
good luck Wayne, no Gosden picks? :-P
Generally I steer clear of reading tipping columns/blogs etc so as not to get influenced one way or another. Having gone through the card for day4 I decided to have a perusal of a few sites. Shock horror I come across a lot of value bet selections. Said tippers stating that there selections were far better than what there odds implied. Nothing anywhere in there well written bull plop articles as to what they thought the true odds of there value picks should be at all. Just a load of fudge (as I call it) to justify there thought processes.
Value is just how often are you right in these particular races. Essentially your strike rate, if over time in one mile class 2 handicaps at Ascot in large fields for example your strike rate is 11% picking one horse from the field, and you back nags at 7/1 or less you lose long term.
If the over round for backing each way is 105% don"t think there is value to be had if your strike rate is crap, you"ll lose long term, simples.
KNOW HOW OFTEN YOUR OPINIONS ARE CORRECT.
How on earth will you know or not that you are backing a horse at a shorter/longer price than you THINK it deserves to be?
Right that"s off my chest, moan over.
